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GtownHoo

Joined: 9/29/13 Posts: 16621
Likes: 2339


The average first round draft pick in the MLB still takes 4-6 years to


make it to the MLB... And that's sometimes as a part time MLB/minor league player. Only about 55 percent of 1st/2nd rounders actually ever even MAKE it to the NFL. So take the average MLB player's career earnings and multiply it by 55% right off the bat to get to the expected value. Kyler's odds of making his first NFL contract is almost 100% right now, unless he does something to catastrophically ruin his draftability (massive injury or off field issue).

MLB contracts are also very team friendly to start. You're under team control for a long time, and there aren't really holdouts and other methods of getting paid. MLB teams have ultimate control, even keeping guys in the minors just long enough to get that extra year of control. Then you get to arbitration, but only if you're in the top percentile of those in the majors at your same service time. You gotta be in the majors for 6 years before you get to free agency.

So unless he really makes it as a baseball player, he's not going to see much past that signing bonus (he has to live off that for 3 years) until he hits arbitration (if he's top 17% in playing time) or free agency.

Put it this way... Bryce Harper was the #1 overall pick in the MLB in 2010. He made it to the majors FAST. And it took him 6 years after the draft to match what #11 pick JOSH ROSEN got in guaranteed money on his first contract (5 year deal, all guaranteed). Rosen could get cut next week and he made $17mm... By the end of 5 years, he'd have made about the same as it took Harper to make in six, and Harper is considered one of the top players in the league... Sure, he's about to get paid huge money, but up until now, even as a top player in the MLB, he didn't make what guys in the mid first round in the NFL get (particularly QBs).

(In response to this post by hoolu)

Posted: 02/11/2019 at 3:12PM



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Current Thread:
  Skins waiting for Perkins * ** -- T Room Cav 02/12/2019 8:08PM
  Cardinals need to trade the #1 Pick -- rd280z 02/13/2019 09:31AM
  Funny you should mention that... -- YuvaY 02/12/2019 1:53PM
  It's like a fly in your Chardonnay. ** -- jdubforwahoowa 02/12/2019 4:07PM
  Jon Gruden says Hello ** -- rd280z 02/12/2019 08:37AM
  Denver Bronco book it ** -- Charleston Cav 02/11/2019 5:19PM
  Perkins gonna hit ropes all over the yard ** -- darkstar 02/12/2019 09:12AM
  And here's the empirical evidence -- GtownHoo 02/12/2019 08:50AM
  The Manziell comparison is laughable -- GtownHoo 02/12/2019 07:59AM
  You’ve made some great points. -- HoosGuy 02/12/2019 08:08AM
  Plus let me guess... Murray gets a 20mm -- GtownHoo 02/12/2019 08:03AM
  Yep, totally get the long term health argument -- GtownHoo 02/11/2019 4:05PM
  Im with u ** -- GtownHoo 02/11/2019 5:52PM
  Actually, much more income potentially ** -- Hoogle.com 02/11/2019 3:22PM
  Sure there is more money initially in the NFL -- hoolu 02/11/2019 2:10PM
  Not unless you are Mike Trout. ** -- Yosemite Sam 02/12/2019 10:59AM
  Yes, the Powerball is around there today, too... -- GtownHoo 02/11/2019 3:41PM
  Yea, QBs are a separate story. ** -- Hoogle.com 02/11/2019 4:09PM
  He should go to the NBA :) -- Zhoo 02/11/2019 3:54PM
  He has at least 2inches on Spud ;) ** -- Zhoo 02/11/2019 4:07PM
  That's not what she said! ** -- Spudnut 02/12/2019 06:06AM
  Not from endorsements. -- YuvaY 02/11/2019 2:38PM
  Justin Verlander. ** -- Ronald Mexico 02/11/2019 3:48PM
  Not the luckiest MLBer. -- jdubforwahoowa 02/11/2019 6:53PM
  Tell me who I am missing? -- jdubforwahoowa 02/11/2019 6:54PM
  Big “if” though. Far from a lock. ** -- EHoo 02/11/2019 2:17PM

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