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WahooFla

Joined: 8/13/98 Posts: 60817
Likes: 7540


Is there a real situation that has occurred during this pandemic...


that came very, very close to the predictions by ANY model?

As is probably obvious from my lead-in, I'm not a big fan of models in situations like this. I don't know if this is mostly because I've seen evidence of many disastrous model projections that didn't come even remotely close to reality, or because I never have understood the modelling process.

All I know is I've seen a great deal of evidence that theories are great on paper, but in the real world, there's always sump'n that escaped inclusion in the formulae.

I'm willing to look at any example anyone knows of. Only problem is I won't understand it anyway.

(In response to this post by Toolie92)

Posted: 05/22/2020 at 4:48PM



+3

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Current Thread:
  The model that predicted 2M US deaths? -- 111shamrock 05/22/2020 9:47PM
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  God forbid there be any positive news. ** -- hooincarolina 05/22/2020 7:45PM
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  Then the peers were found wrong. ** -- Hoogle.com 05/22/2020 10:40PM
  Don't shoot me, I'm just the messenger ** -- Faz d. Hoo 05/22/2020 4:59PM
  I know ** -- Toolie92 05/22/2020 5:03PM
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