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Virginia Mens Basketball Board


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Correlation is not causation

The 2017 roster had some massive challenges when Nichols was dismissed; the defense remained elite (#2 in Kenpom) but our offense fell to #50. See my reply to Toolie for details. But in brief, that 2017 team had a lot of deficiencies, and that forced TB to try a lot of different players and combos. The weaknesses led to a long rotation and not the opposite.

Our 2014-15 team had nine players who averaged double-digit minutes and a 10th, Wilkins, who was at 9.4 mpg. That team was 6th ranked by Kenpom and a 2-seed in March because it had four strong starters (Brogdon, Gill, Anderson and Perrantes) and a deep bench of players with talents to contribute. That team also would have made a deep run in March if Gill had not been injured against Michigan State.

I think this team is clearly better than 2017, which only had one near All-ACC type player in Perrantes (for that year Hunter was a RS and Ty/Guy were not yet at that level); this year we have three players who could be in the ACC's top 15 in Hauser, Clark and Huff.

One could argue this team is not quite as strong going in as was the 2015 squad, but it is considerably closer to that than to the 2017 team.

(In response to this post by 73CAV)

Posted: 10/15/2020 at 8:46PM


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Current Thread:
Minutes distribution??? -- FredArbiter 10/15/2020 09:26AM
  TB doesn't play 1 -> 5 so start by clearing that assumption -- NorthernExposure 10/15/2020 2:46PM
  It will be difficult this year... -- The Venetian 10/15/2020 11:05AM
  Way to early to tell, but... -- 73CAV 10/15/2020 10:30AM
  Agree with your point, Way too early to Tell** -- rocket 10/15/2020 1:23PM
  Stattmann played 21.4 minutes a game last year. -- Cutter 10/15/2020 09:47AM

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