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Joined: 01/12/2001 Posts: 69218
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Some of the author's interesting perspectives include

"For what it’s worth, Snell’s final fastball was his slowest of the night"

(Snell peaked at 97.7, but he threw a one at 94.7 in the 1st and 94.9 in the 3rd so is it a big deal when he throws one at 94.3 mph in the 6th?)

"Betts was way worse against lefties than righties in 2020, but he faced them only 64 times, much too small a sample to be meaningful. Nor does it matter much, in a predictive sense, that Betts has hit .304/.370/.522 against Snell in his regular-season career—right around his career rates—or that he’d struck out swinging against him in his two trips to the plate on Tuesday."

(in other words, facts that detract from the premise are statistically insignificant by definition ... ask Mookie if striking out twice to Snell had him looking forward to his third encounter. Mookie answered that in the post-game)

The referenced article which argues that managers don't know when their starter is going to 'lose it' is based on 7th-inning data/decisions, not 6th inning and I'll bet is light on data from Cy Young Award winners pitching in World Series elimination games after only 73 pitches when their stuff may be their career best.

[Post edited by Trigon at 10/28/2020 6:26PM]

(In response to this post by HooStu)

Posted: 10/28/2020 at 3:48PM


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