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darkstar

Joined: 08/14/1998 Posts: 12760
Likes: 3564


I’m not saying it shouldn’t matter


I’m saying our numbers are rendering it irrelevant. 125k cases a day and growing, knowing that true infections are way higher than confirmed cases because we're not doing a good job of testing and most cases are asymptomatic. All signs are pointing to this getting really out of hand, really quickly. And frankly, that’s working off assumptions that I think are likely relatively conservative (~22% of the U.S. already infected, catching 20% of infections with current testing levels, RT of 1.15 nationwide, serial interval of 5 days). That puts us on pace for half the country infected by the new year.

We could slow down the transmission rate, but that involves either behavior change or population immunity. Do you envision much behavior change? If anything, with the weather getting colder, it will get worse. Even a lot of people who have taken this mostly seriously to this point have reached the "Do everything we always did before, but with a mask on" stage.

(In response to this post by AbusiveTubesock)

Posted: 11/14/2020 at 07:09AM



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Current Thread:
  Only 22 on the field at a time, pods of 20 on the sideline -- HoosYourDaddy003 11/14/2020 07:58AM
  Hopefully there are exceptions. -- Ephus 11/14/2020 07:49AM
  F Gov Blackface ** -- Early Cuyler 11/14/2020 07:34AM
  Virginia excess deaths -- BRU Hoo 11/14/2020 03:16AM
  Great move. He should be applauded. -- Fred F. 11/13/2020 9:27PM
  Link to Virginia data -- 12th Man 11/13/2020 8:51PM
  Typical. Doesn' work. ** -- 12th Man 11/13/2020 8:53PM
  How big is a gathering space? -- SoCalHoo 11/13/2020 8:13PM
  And The Branch Covidians cheer him on ** -- Shastaball 11/13/2020 7:39PM
  Time for him to be recalled. ** -- HamptonHoo 11/13/2020 7:34PM
  I prefer an end to Northam's mandates. ** -- Chevalier 11/13/2020 6:26PM
  So would everybody, but lockdowns aint it ** -- markc 11/14/2020 07:11AM
  The 2 are not so intertwined as to breech -- thor9hammer 11/13/2020 7:03PM
  Correct. They are just that. -- halleHOOjah 11/13/2020 7:54PM
  I mean how about gatherings in Walmart, and -- redskin1 11/13/2020 6:04PM
  The Gov can’t succeed himself in VA ** -- UVaGuy 11/13/2020 7:02PM
  Quiet. He’s on a roll. ** -- WanderingHoo 11/14/2020 2:53PM
  Agree. Basketball and football are so much more... -- halleHOOjah 11/13/2020 6:48PM
  Treating adults like adults is important -- Early Cuyler 11/14/2020 07:42AM
  Ugh!!!! ** -- redskin1 11/13/2020 5:57PM
  The Emperor Strikes Again. Ridiculous. ** -- DubbleHoo 11/13/2020 5:29PM
  Should we expect anything different from him? ** -- RChooNnoke 11/13/2020 5:35PM
  25 outdoors? 🤷🏻‍♂️🙄 ** -- Seattleapp 11/13/2020 5:26PM
  End result is no different. ** -- CDCHoo 11/13/2020 5:47PM
  Ridiculous ** -- ryno hoo 11/13/2020 4:32PM
  Totally ridiculous ** -- Wahoos79 11/13/2020 10:09PM
  Not at all ** -- Mg234 11/13/2020 4:34PM
  Totally agree.. ** -- hooville1 11/13/2020 6:30PM
  Ok ** -- hooville1 11/13/2020 8:12PM
  Gov says 25%, stadium is 12,000, BUT -- rdm 11/13/2020 6:29PM
  It is absolutely ridiculous. Totally arbitrary. -- Mad Bowl 11/13/2020 5:51PM
  Disagree ** -- Mg234 11/13/2020 6:02PM
  Obviously you don’t own a business. True? ** -- Mad Bowl 11/13/2020 10:33PM
  Just a small one actually ** -- Mg234 11/13/2020 11:56PM
  It’s intent is not ridiculous but the practical -- bridgehoo 11/13/2020 4:40PM
  Lol ** -- Mg234 11/13/2020 4:42PM
  Seems insane to me.... -- TheTruth09 11/13/2020 4:29PM
  They need to be saved! I volunteer for Malibu duty. ** -- ShockHooSlip 11/13/2020 6:48PM
  I see that the redcoats are out tonight. LOL ** -- halleHOOjah 11/13/2020 6:36PM
  LOL ** -- halleHOOjah 11/13/2020 4:55PM
  I was with you until -- AbusiveTubesock 11/14/2020 12:45AM
  I’m not saying it shouldn’t matter -- darkstar 11/14/2020 07:09AM
  Roll out will be way before spring! ** -- redskin1 11/13/2020 5:53PM
  That's true, but still months away. ** -- halleHOOjah 11/13/2020 4:57PM
  I agree with that -- hooman#1 11/13/2020 5:00PM
  Look at the numbers -- BRU Hoo 11/14/2020 03:45AM
  Unfortunately, for now, the nation!! ** -- gborocav 11/14/2020 08:36AM
  So sad you. ** -- mezzipahoo 11/13/2020 8:18PM
  I’m sorry snowflake ** -- rphoos1 11/13/2020 8:22PM
  BA wins in a landslide ** -- djp 11/13/2020 7:18PM
  New York!!! ** -- Chevalier 11/13/2020 6:33PM
  I vote for our Florida governor. ** -- halleHOOjah 11/13/2020 5:07PM
  DeSantis has done a great job. ** -- Wahoos79 11/13/2020 10:10PM
  Nope. -- halleHOOjah 11/14/2020 08:25AM
  Certainly not true. -- Wahoos79 11/14/2020 2:42PM
  Your opinion. ** -- halleHOOjah 11/14/2020 2:45PM
  Data based vs your opinion ** -- Wahoos79 11/14/2020 3:04PM
  LOL! ** -- halleHOOjah 11/14/2020 3:05PM
  There goes the 1000 after this weekend ** -- Mg234 11/13/2020 4:15PM
  I agree ** -- Minutia 11/13/2020 4:19PM
  If cap was 250 how have we been having 1000 -- bridgehoo 11/13/2020 3:58PM
  Has not applied to churches either. ** -- ftlhoo625 11/13/2020 4:03PM
  Or schools or restaurants, so safe bet -- bridgehoo 11/13/2020 4:07PM
  I’m being serious when I say this... -- CDCHoo 11/13/2020 5:54PM
  True, if we make it that far Id do it ** -- hooman#1 11/13/2020 6:40PM
  Doubtful the VT game happens ** -- Minutia 11/13/2020 3:52PM
  Man, you are such a downer. ** -- Rumble 11/13/2020 3:58PM
  Move it to Florida ** -- ftlhoo625 11/13/2020 4:05PM

Virginia Basketball Schedule

Edit
DateOpponentTime/TV/Score
12/22William & Mary(W) 76-40
12/26Gonzaga (@Fort Worth, Texas)(L) 75-98
12/30@ Notre Dame(W) 66-57
1/2Virginia TechPPD
1/6Wake Forest(W) 70-61
1/9@ Boston College(W) 61-49
1/13Notre Dame(W) 80-68
1/16@ Clemson(W) 85-50
1/20NC StatePPD
1/23Georgia Tech8 p.m./ACC Network
1/25Syracuse7 p.m./ESPN

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