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Toolie92

Joined: 03/05/2015 Posts: 12411
Likes: 11248

What's this?

That is my estimate as well


Approximately 15% cumulative infected now, maybe even 16% after last week. Before a vaccine is ready for broad distribution we will almost certainly be somewhere between 25-30%, which is unfathomable and represents wanton disregard for human life, as we have probably another 70K deaths coming, maybe even 100K on the high end.

(In response to this post by MaizeAndBlueWahoo)

Posted: 11/23/2020 at 2:58PM


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Current Thread:
 
  Follow-up on yesterday's COVID numbercrunch.... -- MaizeAndBlueWahoo 11/23/2020 08:29AM
  I've got this weird dark optimism -- darkstar 11/23/2020 11:07AM
  I think that's more or less right -- 007 Hoo 11/23/2020 12:04PM
  I think that's a pretty huge overestimate of the number of people -- MaizeAndBlueWahoo 11/23/2020 1:22PM
  That is my estimate as well -- Toolie92 11/23/2020 2:58PM
  I think an estimate of having found 1/4 cases is very high -- 007 Hoo 11/23/2020 2:34PM
  We may actually get to re-open ahead of the countries who handled it better -- darkstar 11/23/2020 12:11PM
  "Handled it better" is pretty subjective -- 007 Hoo 11/23/2020 12:28PM
  Rule #76: No excuses, play like a champion. ** -- FTJ Mackey 11/23/2020 12:56PM
  TWNDS ** -- jdubforwahoowa 11/23/2020 1:34PM
  As I know you have noticed, don’t trust Sunday numbers. -- 111Balz 11/23/2020 10:15AM
  That's why I was comparing Sunday to Sunday -- MaizeAndBlueWahoo 11/23/2020 10:28AM
  One of the things that bugs me about shutdowns is the sense that the virus -- CAVern 11/23/2020 08:53AM
  It’s not slowing down in VA.. 3000 cases ** -- hooville1 11/23/2020 09:54AM
  It was certainly slowing down in Iowa before they put a mask mandate -- MaizeAndBlueWahoo 11/23/2020 09:16AM
  It will follow that curve regardless, but we can determine the curve's -- Faz d. Hoo 11/23/2020 08:58AM
  Are we? or are we merely delaying the spread in a minscule fashion? ** -- CAVern 11/23/2020 09:01AM
  Delays get us to the vaccine. Not delaying risk over running the hospital s -- 111Balz 11/23/2020 10:18AM
  Do you think UVA's success with controlling the virus was by chance? Or wa -- chefhoo 11/23/2020 09:12AM
  Do you mean other colleges in Virginia, or across the country? -- MaizeAndBlueWahoo 11/23/2020 09:25AM
  UVA was not shut down. I was discussing shut downs -- CAVern 11/23/2020 09:24AM
  Not shut down, but there were all kinds of restrictions ** -- Faz d. Hoo 11/23/2020 09:25AM
  Not shut down. my biggest irritation is all the grade schools that are -- CAVern 11/23/2020 09:28AM
  No argument from me there. -- Faz d. Hoo 11/23/2020 09:30AM
  This is my biggest frustration -- CMUHoo 11/23/2020 09:48AM
  Agreed on the restaurants and bars -- darkstar 11/23/2020 11:15AM
  I agree. the way things are in virginia right now are ok -- CAVern 11/23/2020 09:52AM
  Agreed. something needs to be done to force municipalities -- CAVern 11/23/2020 09:36AM
  We haven't been able to control virus spreads all that well historically. -- QBSacker 11/23/2020 09:01AM

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