I haven't paid attention to either team enough to estimate their likelihood
to win any single game, but it is not smoke & mirrors to estimate how many games a terrible team might win over the course of a season.
If a team is 19:1 to win each time out (5% win likelihood), they are expected to win one game out 20. That's just how it is.
Of course, hindsight's 20/20 ... you wouldn't have bet the Jets would go 0-16 before the season started, but once they're 0-13, you probably would.
|
(
In response to this post by WHOODAT)
Posted: 12/19/2020 at 9:47PM