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Joined: 10/02/2013 Posts: 4228
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Notes on incoming women's recruits

I have been looking into the records of Elaine Chervinsky and Melodie Collard recently. One thing I concentrate on is a high ceiling, i.e. how good can this player be in the future? One indicator is wins over top players. A #10 blue chip, for example, might get that ranking by beating players ranked lower but never beating anyone ranked higher, or might have a couple of losses to lower players but several wins against higher players. The former case makes you think the ceiling is about the #10 blue chip level, barring a big improvement in college, while the latter case is more encouraging in the long term.

So, what are the quality wins of our recruits? There are quite a few.

Melodie Collard: 2019 US Open juniors, first round, beat Chloe Beck 6-1, 6-1. Chloe Beck was a top 10 blue chip, two years older than Melodie, who was starting at Duke that month. She went 14-1 at the #3 singles spot for Duke as a sophomore this spring. She was missing from the lineup when we beat Duke in the regular season, but had a lot of quality ACC wins at #3 (straight set wins over good opponents from FSU, Miami), close loss at #2 to GT, close win at #2 over Cameron Morra of UNC in a team loss). When we beat Duke in the ACC tourney 4-2, Beck's match was the unfinished one. She was leading Rosie Johanson 7-6, 6-6.

At the ITF Grade A in Merida, Mexico, late November-early December, 2019, Melodie was the #9 seed. She beat Hina Inoue 6-2, 6-3 (current #11 blue chip; oddly, has no college commitment listed yet; trains in Bradenton, FL); beat #6 seed Aubane Droguet of France 6-3, 6-2; beat #16 seed Charlotte Chavatipon 7-5, 6-2 in the QFs (Charlotte was a top 5 blue chip from California last year who did well at #4 singles as a freshman at NCAA champion Texas this spring); beat #7 seed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez of Ecuador 6-2, 3-6, 7-5 in the semifinals (Reasco is the top incoming Georgia recruit in their #6-rated recruiting class); then lost in the finals to Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva of Andorra 7-6(10-8), 6-2 (she was an unseeded player who was rocketing her way up to #1 junior in the world; a little over a month later she won the Australian Open junior girls title).

There are other high quality wins I will post later if I get time. She also has a lot of doubles accomplishments, including making the semifinals of the 2019 US Open junior tourney with big wins over some current college names.

In Elaine Chervinsky's most recent tourney, in March, she beat Alexandra Yepifanova in the semis 6-3, 2-6, [10-4] (Yepifanova is the current #1 blue chip, Stanford commit) and then beat Elvina Kalieva 6-0, 6-3 in the final (Elvina is the current #4 blue chip, was #1 in January for a few weeks, no college commitment yet). Elaine is up to #5 blue chip in the current rankings. She also has wins over class of 2022 top 5 blue chips like Charlotte Owensby and Madison Sieg (early commit to USC). Elaine also has some very good doubles results in the junior tournaments.

Both of these recruits are also young (currently 17), which also indicates lots of potential for development at UVA over the next four years.

[Post edited by Clark2 at 06/05/2021 10:45AM]

Posted: 06/05/2021 at 07:34AM


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Current Thread:
Notes on incoming women's recruits -- Clark2 06/05/2021 07:34AM
  Some more quality wins -- Clark2 06/05/2021 11:50PM
  Addendum: notes from current Junior French Open -- Clark2 06/10/2021 11:55PM
  Article on Elaine Chervinsky (link) -- Clark2 06/05/2021 2:50PM
  Our article when she signed the NLI (link) -- Clark2 06/05/2021 10:11PM

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