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Virginia Mens Basketball Board


Joined: 03/05/2015 Posts: 14200
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If only we had lineup data to test your assumption

Oh wait, we do!

Survey says: Murphy is good! On both offense AND defense!

This is removing cupcake games and garbage time:

Clark-Beekman-Hauser-Huff-Murphy: Oeff 1.21 PPP, Deff 0.95 PPP, Net +0.26 PPP (455 possessions)

Clark-Beekman-Hauser-Huff-notMurphy: Oeff 0.96 PPP, Deff 1.01 PPP, Net -0.05 PPP (160 possessions)

That comes out to +0.31 PPP having Murphy in the game with the starters vs. anyone else.

I kept the other 4 players the same just to compare apples to apples. If you just take all lineups with/without Murphy the answer is mostly the same, but the difference on offense is not as great so the total net is only like +0.21 PPP.

This whole 'Murphy was a bum' conclusion is only based on some kind of eye test and imaginary beliefs about the production of Morsell/Woldo/McKoy that were just not true.

(In response to this post by FredArbiter)

Posted: 07/13/2021 at 6:38PM


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Current Thread:
  We gave him a chance and he made minimal impact. -- Faz d. Hoo 07/13/2021 5:19PM
  He should have been a starter last year... -- The Venetian 07/13/2021 3:42PM
  Huh? If he starts, Sam or Trey or Jay sit ** -- 111Balz 07/13/2021 5:29PM
  Morsell was consistent. . . ** -- Hoochie Daddy 07/13/2021 8:59PM
  Trey should have stayed at 6th man -- FredArbiter 07/13/2021 5:01PM
  If only we had lineup data to test your assumption -- Toolie92 07/13/2021 6:38PM
  McKoy's lineup stats were not good -- Toolie92 07/14/2021 2:41PM
  I think you completely missed my point -- FredArbiter 07/14/2021 5:56PM
  You sure do make some wild assumptions off my post -- FredArbiter 07/14/2021 1:53PM
  Nailed it with last sentence. ** -- TriplHoo 07/13/2021 4:19PM
  Actually, yes... -- The Venetian 07/13/2021 4:12PM
  OMG, Kris, come on... -- The Venetian 07/13/2021 4:02PM
  Yep, losing him frustrated me the most. ** -- SoCalWahoo 07/13/2021 3:47PM
  I think he would have been 6th man. -- jazzhoo 07/13/2021 3:19PM
  Only with more development -- Toolie92 07/13/2021 3:07PM

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