Strategy Session: The 2013 Class

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Signing Day 2012 has come and gone, and now it’s time to take a closer look at 2013. Specifically, in this latest “Strategy Session,” Kamikaze Hoo and I break down the roster and examine where Mike London and company will likely focus their efforts in 2013 class recruiting. Also, fans can check out important dates and events to remember for the coming months.

As evidenced by the 2012 class, scholarship numbers are fluid. In the beginning, Virginia’s 2012 class was expected to be about average size, somewhere around 20. Twenty-six players, including early enrollee Greyson Lambert , ended up signing. While fans shouldn’t get too caught up in the numbers game over the course of a class, projecting out a roster — in this class, we’re looking at the 2013 season — is a solid place to start when determining how scholarships likely will be used in a given class.

[Update: The Ottawa Citizen reports that Brockville (Ontario) Thousand Islands Secondary School athlete Trent Corney has accepted an offer from UVa. Attempts to reach Trent have been unsuccessful so far. Without direct confirmation, we won’t include Corney in the numbers breakdown.]

Only 85 scholarship players are allowed on a roster in a given season. At this point, the initial number of scholarship players currently projected to be on Virginia’s 2013 season roster is 75. Based on VBHOO’s historical data, Kamikaze Hoo suggests that a good rule of thumb is to subtract 10% from the initial number to take attrition into account. Rounding up, you figure about eight players now projected to be on roster actually won’t be there when the season rolls around. In essence, we project the class to end up with around 18 to 20 prospects.

Position-wise (read more in the breakdown below), the positions that stand out most in terms of immediate need are linebacker, defensive tackle and tight end. But let’s take a closer look position by position of what we can maybe expect next year’s Signing Day roster to look like.

Quarterback

As of now, the 2013 season roster at quarterback projects as follows:

Seniors: Ross Metheny , Michael Rocco

Juniors:

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